USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bullish trend remains intact with downside attempts capped above 0.9075
The US Dollar consolidates near highs with bears contained at 0.9075.
Easing geopolitical fears and monetary policy divergence are weighing on the Swiassie.
USD/CHF: Support at 0.9075 is closing the path towards the key 0.8980 - 0.9000 area.
The US Dollar regained lost ground on Friday, following a risk-averse reaction to Israel’s drone attack on Iran, and the pair has remained consolidating on Monday, with bears contained above 0.9075.
A moderate risk appetite, amid ebbing geopolitical fears, and lower US Treasury yields have weighed on demand for the USD. The US Dollar Index, which measures the price of the Dollar against a basket of the six most traded currencies has remained practically flat in the absence of key fundamental data.
Risks that the Middle East conflict might escalate into a regional war, involving Iran, have faded, at least for now, and that is likely to keep demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc subdued.
In the US, investors have already priced in that the Fed will delay the monetary easing kick-off, and, most probably also reduce its size, and are looking for further clues about the Fed's policy plans. In this sense, Thursday’s US Q1 Gross Domestic Product and Friday’s PCE Prices Index will be analysed with particular interest.
USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook
Technical indicators show the bullish trend still active, with no clear sign of a trend shift in sight apart from some bearish divergence in the 4 H RSI. Immediate support at 0.9075 is closing the path towards the key 0.8980 - 0.9000 area, where the late-march lows and trendline support meet.
On the upside, a break of 0.9143 would resume the bullish trend and pave the path for a retest of November’s high, at 0.9240.
USD/CHF Daily Chart
